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Dow 30 ETF (DIA) Monday July 9 Forecast

Information provided by: http://www.mktmetrics.com/

Details for DIA (Diamonds- Dow 30 Exchange Traded Fund)

Today's Date: 07/09/07
Last Updated: 07/06/07
07/06/07 Final Numbers
(Open) 135.57
(High) 136.31
(Low) 135.36
(Close) 136.16
(Range) 0.95

DIA Monday Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 135.84
Today's Predicted High: 136.90
Today's Predicted Low: 135.43
Today's Proposed Range: 1.47
Buy/Sell Rating: Buy (up from sell)

Market Comment:
Mondays have lately been opeing higher and closing higher. While the DJIA Trend did turned higher last Friday 6-29, the 50-Day Net Change has now shifted downward (Thursday 7-5-07), which could represent a sea change forthcoming. The Outlook for both the DJIA and Stock Market remains Bullish and Rising.

DJIA Resistance: 13,711
DJIA Support: 13,235

DIA Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Positive 84 Up from 80
Volume Internal Strength: Negative 0.60/0.78 Down
Current Trend: Positive 4 Up from -10
Demand Factor: 76 Up from 73
Stock Volatility: -0.09 Up from -1.45

Predict Today's DIA Upside and Downside Potential
07/06/07 12:45 Close: 135.96
Upside Potential: 137.81
Downside Potential: 134.87

Information for Extreme Trading Days
Predicted Block Trading Activity
1. 138.07
2. 138.28
3. 138.88
4. 139.04

Predicted Block Trading Activity
1. 133.58
2. 133.44
3. 132.86
4. 132.65

DIA 8-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 134.74
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 134.69
30 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 134.97
42 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 134.78
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 134.31
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 132.67
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 127.93
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 125.90

DIA Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DIA probability "Up%" Monday: 35%
DIA Past 4 Mondays: Rising 60.4% / 59.5% / 60.8% / 62.2%
(Lower opening is greatest for Monday, but this has improved!)
DIA Trend: Positive 4 Up from -10
DIA MACD: BUY up from SELL!

DJIA Probability Percent of "Up" at the Close
DJIA probability "Up%" Monday: 72%
DJIA Trend: Rising Today 61% vs. 58% the prior day (Changed "Up" 6-29)
DJIA MACD: BUY up from SELL!
(DIA & DJIA are weighted differently)

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Full disclosure:
Long/Short individual stocks mentioned above at time of writing by author? None
Order submitted 7-9-07: 1,000 shares DIA at 135.82 Buy-Long


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Posted 06:42 AM July 09, 2007


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