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Eyes of a Securities Expert
Happy New Year 2008 will be long remembered for the dramatic downturn in the stock market, but as importantly, a corresponding decline in the debt market, real estate values and the price of oil. What happened? The simple answer is the demand for these investments declined at the same time the resources of the financial institutions needed by consumers and businesses to finance the acquisitions of these investments either failed, or needed a government bail out to continue doing business. Is there a solution? Yes, but it will take rebuilding our confidence for the future. The long term prospects are good because the US population continues to grow, and the demand for goods over the long term should remain constant. The supply of funds to finance consumption and growth will slowly find its way to consumers and businesses as the financial institutions rebuild their reserves. What happens if confidence is not restored? Without confidence, I believe we will see further increases in unemployment and declines in the values of our investments. The key to a recovery is the belief that the financial system is working and that consumers and businesses can plan ahead for their futures and fulfill their long term plans. What will it take to restore confidence? It will not be a single act or change to the system that will change the thinking of consumers and businesses. Instead, I believe that we all, as individuals and businesses must remember the past, how we thrived by taking measured risk, how we built our retirement plans, planned for our futures and fulfilled our dreams and goals. What have we learned? We must learn from our mistakes, and we should make careful, well planned decisions before taking on any additional debt going forward. It will also be important to trust our financial system and the necessary layers of regulation to ensure that our financial system remains intact and viable so that it can fund the economy in a timely and predictable manner. Robert W. Lowry January 1, 2009
How to get an honest repair.
I believe customers get an honest repair from me. I mean, the problem is accurately identified and a proper fix is made. Newspaper articles about testing repair shops with set up broken computers point out many instances of bad diagnoses and fixing things that are not broke.The best way of avoiding this situation is to get an agreement between the customer and the repair person about what the problem really is. Everything starts with that agreement on the problem, When new problems are uncovered by the repair person, he must be committed to getting an updated agreement with the customer.It follows that when a problem statement is made, the repair person can make an estimate of the expected cost to repair. This step is not always complicated. For example, If the problems statement is clear like "the computer has a virus". With years of experience handling viruses, I can classify them into "bad" and "really very bad". And, I have a fixed price for each of the two categories. For me, many other computer repairs follow this same track.There will be future coverage of this topic in later blogs. I hope you don't get a virus between times.